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While challenging, correctly implementing the above steps provides a blueprint for successfully using data modeling, machine learning and AI to potentially achieve a betting edge. The most viable models balance predictive power with pragmatic use and constant updating. With knowledge, skill and prudence, data-driven sports betting models offer intriguing upside. DraftKings Before diving into the specifics of Super Bowl betting, it's essential to understand the basics. The odds to win the Super Bowl represent the likelihood of each team winning the championship, with favorites having lower odds and underdogs having higher odds. Additionally, the point spread is used to level the playing field between teams of varying skill levels, with bettors wagering on whether a team will win by more or fewer points than the spread. If your game theory predicts extremely high probability outcome, consider hedging related props working backwards. Example getting great value on one team starting quarterback throwing over 2.5 touchdowns then also taking same team winning by 7-12 points range. Structuring correlated positions builds margin for error if original thesis proves directionally accurate but slightly off statistically. .
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