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DraftKings XXIV: 49ers 55, Broncos 10 The most point ever scored by one team in Super Bowl history, the Niners offensive exotic brilliance mesmerized on route pummeling completely overmatched Denver squad still considered most unexpectedly lopsided title tilt given Broncos relative success entering matchup before Joe Montana surgically dissected outclassed opponent. Warren Sharp Super Bowl Bets NFL Odds: Football Betting Lines, Point Spreads & Totals Public Continues Influencing Line Direction Swarming the betting market weeks later overly influenced mainstream media hype bias and brand affinity, unsophisticated fans bet more favorites and over wagers. This causes books adjusting number upwards (shading) benefiting underdogs and lowers flipping tickets to magnify profits on losing public bets. Season long perception and casual fans bank on star power quarterbacks and higher profile teams despite late statistical evidence supporting their actual upset probabilities. Historical data proves true every year. Cognitive Biases: Cognitive biases are systematic patterns of deviation from rationality in decision-making, often leading to irrational judgments and behaviors. In the context of Super Bowl betting, bettors may fall prey to cognitive biases such as confirmation bias, where they selectively interpret information that confirms their preexisting beliefs or expectations, and availability bias, where they overestimate the likelihood of events based on how easily they can recall relevant examples. By being aware of these biases, bettors can strive to make more objective and rational betting decisions. .
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Injuries encapsulate the balancing act of sportsbook linemaking. Estimating likely impacts mixes art and science. Lines adapt as new information appears up until kickoffs. DraftKings Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing TDs (+138) During these playoffs Kansas City averaged scoring 41 points last three games. Mahomes also accounts for combined 11 passing touchdowns in past four first halves. Indications are strong day could again yield prolific production facing sieve like Eagles pass defense permitting seventh most yards this seasonto quarterbacks. While boasting 1,200 rush yards this season, versatile running back Miles Sanders gets criminally underutilized Eagles passing attack averaging only 2 catches playoff run. Expect staff incorporating Sanders early utilizing screen game underneath facing relentless Chiefs pass rush keeping him home blocking often. Very makeable average. .
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